Roger Simon of Politico hedges his bets literally more than two years before November 2012 and says “Barack Obama is a one-term president.” Some of it is angled on the President commenting on the “Mosque near Ground Zero” flap. Article here, and its a very cynically political piece of work, but below is an excerpt:
I am not saying Obama is not smart; he is as smart as a whip. I am just saying he does not understand what savvy first-term presidents need to understand: You have to stay on message, follow the polls, listen to your advisers and realize that when it comes to doing what is right versus doing what is expedient, you do what is expedient so that you can get reelected and do what is right in the second term. If at all possible. And it will help your legacy. And not endanger the election of others in your party. And not hurt the brand. Or upset people too much.
According to Simon here, to get to your second-term you need to be a people-pleaser in your first. What a great message, Roger Simon. Really great.